Tagged: Jake Arrieta

NLCS Game 2 Recap: Mets 4, Cubs 1

The Mets defeated the Cubs by a score of 4-1 in game 2 of the National League Championship Series to take a 2-0 series lead. Noah Syndergaard was extremely strong, allowing only 1 run through 5 2/3 innings allowing only 3 hits and 1 walk while striking out 9. The Mets only had 5 hits on the night, but 3 of the 5 came in the first 3 batters of the game on a Curtis Granderson single, a David Wright RBI double, and a Daniel Murphy 2-run home run, his 5th home run of the postseason and his 4th consecutive game with a home run.

After the Mets jumped Jake Arrieta for 3 runs in the first 3 batters, Arrieta settled down to allow only 1 more run over 5 innings pitched. Curtis Granderson manufactured a run in the 3rd after a leadoff walk, steals of 2nd and 3rd, and an RBI infield single by Yoenis Cespedes. Jon Niese, Addison Reed, Tyler Clippard, and Jeurys Familia combined for the final 10 outs of the 4-1 win.

chart101815

After Noah Syndergaard worked around a 2-out single in the 1st inning, the Mets jumped on Jake Arrieta quickly, with a line-drive single by Curtis Granderson, a long RBI double by David Wright, and a 2-run home run by Daniel Murphy, hooked just inside the right field foul pole. The Mets took a 3-0 lead before Arrieta recorded an out.

Arrieta retired his next 3, and Syndergaard and Arrieta each had a perfect 2nd inning, punctuated by a fantastic play by Curtis Granderson that may have robbed Chris Coghlan of a home run.

In the 3rd, after Syndergaard worked around a 2-out walk, the Mets led off with a walk by Granderson. On a David Wright strikeout, Granderson stole 2nd, prompting the Cubs to intentionally walk Daniel Murphy. While Yoenis Cespedes was batting, Granderson stole 3rd, and then scored on an infield single to shortstop by Cespedes. Arrieta worked around further trouble, and both Arrieta and Syndergaard were perfect through the 4th and 5th.

In the 6th, Arrieta left for pinch hitter Tommy La Stella, who flied out to lead off the inning. After a Dexter Fowler single and a wild pitch, Kyle Schwarber struck out before Kris Bryant lined a double to left to give the Cubs their first run of the game. The Mets’ lead was cut to 4-1. However, Jon Niese was brought in to face Anthony Rizzo, and struck him out to end the inning.

Addison Reed pitched a perfect 7th and Tyler Clippard worked around a 2-out single in the 8th before Jeurys Familia worked around a 1-out infield single in the 9th to end the game.


POSITIVES: Daniel Murphy continues his torrid postseason, and was 2/3 with a 2-run home run and a walk. David Wright got a big 1st inning hit, lining an RBI double over Dexter Fowler’s head. Curtis Granderson was the sparkplug of the night, and was 1/3 with 2 runs scored, a walk, and 2 stolen bases. Noah Syndergaard was brilliant through 5 2/3 innings, allowing only 3 hits, 1 walk, and 1 run while striking out 9. Jon Niese retired a key batter in the 6th, before Addison Reed, Tyler Clippard, and Jeurys Familia successfully closed out the win without allowing any more runs.

NEGATIVES: Travis d’Arnud, Lucas Duda, Michael Conforto, and Wilmer Flores were each 0/3 on the night, with all but d’Arnaud striking out twice (d’Arnaud struck out once).

On Tuesday at 8:07 in Chicago, Jacob deGrom faces Kyle Hendricks in game 3.


WPA Winners:

  • Noah Syndergaard (.134 pitching, -.006 batting, .128 total)
  • Daniel Murphy (.126)
  • David Wright (.117)
  • Bullpen (.114; .035 by Reed, .031 by Clippard, .024 by Familia, .023 by Niese)

WPA Losers: None under -.100

Best Plays:

  • David Wright hits an RBI double, Mets up 1-0, 1st inning (.134)
  • Daniel Murphy hit a 2-run home run, Mets up 3-0, 1st inning (.121)

Worst Plays: None under -.100

Advertisements

NLCS Game 2 Preview: Syndergaard vs. Arrieta

The Mets take on the Cubs in game 2 of the National League Championship Series tonight at 8:07 at Citi Field. Noah Syndergaard (3.24 ERA, 3.25 FIP, 1.05 WHIP, 150 IP over 24 starts) takes on Jake Arrieta (1.77 ERA, 2.35 FIP, 0.86 WHIP, 229 IP over 33 starts).

Lineups:

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Noah Syndergaard, P (L)

Cubs:JakeArrieta1280_9od7odcq_wqvo3i1y

  1. Dexter Fowler, CF (S)
  2. Kyle Schwarber, LF (L)
  3. Kris Bryant, 3B (R)
  4. Anthony Rizzo, 1B (L)
  5. Starlin Castro, 2B (R)
  6. Chris Coghlan, RF (L)
  7. Miguel Montero, C (L)
  8. Javier Baez, SS (R)
  9. Jake Arrieta, P (R)

In the 2015 postseason, Noah Syndergaard has pitched 7 1/3 innings across a start and a relief appearance while allowing 5 hits, 5 walks (1 intentional), and 3 runs while striking out 11. Arrieta, over his two starts and 14 2/3 innings, has allowed 10 hits, 2 walks and 4 runs while striking out 20. Arrieta pitched a complete game shutout with 11 strikeouts in the NL wild card game against the Pittsburgh Pirates, but was hit around a little bit by the Cardinals in his last start, allowing 4 runs in 5 2/3 innings.

Noah Syndergaard faced the Cubs once this season, in his major league debut, allowing 3 runs over 5 1/3 innings, allowing 6 hits and 4 walks while striking out 6. Jake Arrieta faced the Mets twice in 2015, and allowed one run over 8 innings in both instances. Overall, across those 16 innings, Arrieta allowed only 8 hits, 2 walks, and 2 runs while striking out 17.

As always, LET’S GO METS!

NLCS Game 1 Recap: Mets 4, Cubs 2

The Mets defeated the Cubs by a score of 4-2 in game 1 of the National League Championship Series to take a 1-0 series lead. Matt Harvey was brilliant through 7 2/3 innings, allowing only 4 hits, 2 runs, 2 walks (1 intentional), and a hit batsman while striking out 9. Jeurys Familia worked around a 2-out walk in the 8th and a 2-out single in the 9th to secure the 4 out save. Jon Lester was solid for the Cubs, but allowed a 1st inning solo home run to Daniel Murphy, an RBI single to Curtis Granderson in the 5th, a solo home run to Travis d’Arnaud in the 6th, and a sacrifice fly to Granderson in the 7th.

Murphy, with his 4th postseason home run, has already tied the Mets record for home runs in a single postseason (Carlos Delgado in 2006, Mike Piazza in 2000, Rusty Staub in 1973).

chart101715

The Mets got off to a fast start, when Daniel Murphy hit his 4th home run of the postseason, a solo shot to right field. Lester settled down after that, keeping the Mets off the board again until the 5th, while Harvey retired the first 12 batters he faced, 6 via the strikeout.

In the 5th inning, Harvey hit Anthony Rizzo on an 0-2 pitch to give the Cubs their first baserunner, and Starlin Castro jumped on Harvey’s next pitch to send a double over Juan Lagares‘s head in center, scoring the Cubs’ first run of the game. The game was tied at 1. Harvey then got Jorge Soler to ground out, but Javier Baez singled on a ground ball to Yoenis Cespedes in left field. Cespedes, however, threw Castro out at the plate for the 2nd out of the inning. After Baez stole 2nd and advanced to 3rd on a Travis d’Arnaud throwing error, Harvey walked David Ross intentionally to face Jon Lester, who struck out to end the threat. It was 1-1 in the middle of the 5th.

However, in the bottom of the 5th, the Mets got the run right back. After Michael Cuddyer struck out, Wilmer Flores and Juan Lagares hit back-to-back singles, but Harvey bunted into a fielder’s choice at 3rd base, forcing out Flores. However, with two outs, Curtis Granderson singled on a soft liner to center, scoring Lagares and giving the Mets a 2-1 lead.

After a 1-2-3 6th by Harvey, the Mets added another run on a long solo home run by Travis d’Arnaud that landed in the home run apple in center field, and the Mets had a 3-1 lead. Harvey then worked around a leadoff walk and a 1-out single in the 7th. In the bottom of the 7th, Juan Lagares led off with a single before Harvey bunted him to 2nd. Lagares stole 3rd base (defense-first catcher David Ross had been pinch-hit for and removed from the game) and scored on a shallow Granderson sacrifice fly to left. The Mets had a 4-1 lead.

Harvey pitched into the 8th, but after getting the first two outs, gave up a 459 foot home run to Kyle Schwarber, ending his night. Jeurys Familia took over, and after losing Kris Bryant to a walk, got Anthony Rizzo to ground out to shortstop to end the inning. In the 9th, Familia worked around a 2-out single by Miguel Montero to end the 4-2 win. Fittingly, the final play of the game was on a diving stop by Daniel Murphy to get Tommy La Stella at 1st.


POSITIVES: Today was a fantastic and well-needed outing by Matt Harvey. Harvey was dominant early and worked around some trouble late, and overall, finished with a game score of 70 in his 7 2/3 innings. Jeurys Familia did not have his best command, but worked around a little bit of trouble in the 8th and 9th to secure his 3rd save of the postseason. Daniel Murphy continues his torrid postseason with yet another home run against an all-star pitcher (his 3rd against a lefty this postseason, compared to 1 against a lefty during the regular season). Curtis Granderson came through twice when needed, with a soft liner RBI single in the 5th and a sacrifice fly in the 7th. Travis d’Arnaud was 2/4 with a home run, and Juan Lagares was 2/3 with 2 runs scored.

NEGATIVES: David Wright looks a bit lost at the plate, and was 0/3 with a walk. Yoenis Cespedes was 0/4 with 2 strikeouts, but saved a run with his outfield assist in the 5th. Other than that, everyone in the starting lineup had at least one hit, except for Harvey.

Noah Syndergaard opposes Jake Arrieta at 8:07 tomorrow in game 2.


WPA Winners:

  • Matt Harvey (.219 pitching, -.072 batting, .147 total)
  • Curtis Granderson (.160)
  • Travis d’Arnaud (.120)

WPA Losers: None under -.100

Best Plays:

  • Curtis Granderson hits an RBI single, Mets up 2-1, 5th inning (.171)
  • Daniel Murphy hits a solo home run, Mets up 1-0, 1st inning (.122)
  • Travis d’Arnaud hits a solo home run, Mets up 3-1, 6th inning (.120)

Worst Play: Starlin Castro hits an RBI double, game tied 1-1, 5th inning (-.200)

NLCS Game 1 Preview: Harvey vs. Lester

The Mets and Cubs face off in game 1 of the National League Championship Series. Tonight’s game is at Citi Field and starts at 8:07 PM. Matt Harvey (2.71 ERA, 3.05 FIP, 1.02 WHIP, 189 1/3 IP over 29 starts) gets the game 1 assignment against Jon Lester (3.34 ERA, 2.92 FIP, 1.12 WHIP, 205 IP over 32 starts). The Mets and Cubs have never faced each other in the postseason.

In his one postseason start, Matt Harvey has allowed 3 runs over 5 innings (2 earned), 7 hits, and 2 walks while striking out 7. Lester, in his one postseason start of 2015, pitched 7 1/3 innings while allowing 3 runs, 5 hits, 1 walk, and 2 wild pitches while striking out 9. Harvey made one start against the Cubs this season, and shut them out over 7 innings while allowing only 2 walks and 3 hits while striking out 9. Lester made two starts against the Mets this season, and in 13 innings, he allowed 3 runs, 10 hits and 5 walks while striking out 13. His second start against the Mets in July was an outing of 7 shutout innings.

Lineups:

Mets:Matt Harvey

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, LF (R)
  5. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  6. Michael Cuddyer, 1B (R)
  7. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  8. Juan Lagares, CF (R)
  9. Matt Harvey, P (R)

Cubs:jon-lester-cubs_tri

  1. Dexter Fowler, CF (S)
  2. Kyle Schwarber, LF (L)
  3. Kris Bryant, 3B (R)
  4. Anthony Rizzo, 1B (L)
  5. Starlin Castro, 2B (R)
  6. Jorge Soler, RF (R)
  7. Javier Baez, SS (R)
  8. David Ross, C (R)
  9. Jon Lester, P (L)

Mets Bench:

Michael Conforto, LF (L), Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF (L), Lucas Duda, 1B (L), Kelly Johnson, IF/OF (L), Matt Reynolds, SS/2B (R), Kevin Plawecki, C (R)

Mets Pitchers (projected starters denoted with asterisk):

Jeurys Familia (R), Tyler Clippard (R), Addison Reed (R), Hansel Robles (R), Jon Niese (L), Bartolo Colon (R), Sean Gilmartin** (L), Noah Syndergaard* (R), Jacob deGrom* (R), Steven Matz* (L)

**Gilmartin replaces Erik Goeddel, after Goeddel did not record an out while facing 4 batters in the NLDS. Gilmartin is likely on the rosters for a couple of reasons. First, Jon Niese may miss part of a game due to a death in his family [Rubin] and second, the Cubs as a team have not hit lefties (.303 wOBA) as well as they have hit righties (.316 wOBA). Also of note for the Mets, Juan Uribe is unavailable for this series.

Cubs Bench:

Chris Coghlan, OF/IF (L), Austin Jackson, OF (R), Chris Denorfia, OF (R), Tommy La Stella, 3B/2B (L), Quintin Berry**, OF (L), Miguel Montero, C (L)

**Quintin Berry replaces Addison Russell, who is unavailable for the NLCS after re-injuring his hamstring in game 3 of the NLDS. Javier Baez will start at shortstop in his place.

Cubs Pitchers (projected starters denoted with asterisk):

Hector Rondon (R), Pedro Strop (R), Justin Grimm (R), Travis Wood (L), Trevor Cahill (R), Fernando Rodney (R), Clayton Richard (L), Jake Arrieta* (R), Jason Hammel* (R), Kyle Hendricks* (R)

As always, LET’S GO METS!

Game Recap: Mets 1, Nationals 0

The Mets (90-72) defeated the Washington Nationals (83-79) by a score of 1-0. Mets pitchers had a no-hitter through 6 2/3 IP, but Clint Robinson lined a ball up the middle that caromed off of Ruben Tejada‘s knee, giving the Nationals their first hit of the afternoon. Mets pitchers combined for a 2-hit shutout, with contributions from starter Jacob deGrom, Bartolo Colon, Logan Verrett, Jon Niese, Addison Reed, Tyler Clippard, and Jeurys Familia. Familia garnered his 43rd save of the season, tying Armando Benitez‘s single season record.

chart100415

Once again, the Mets bats were quiet against Nationals pitching. Starter Tanner Roark allowed only 3 hits and 1 walk in 6 shutout innings while striking out 6. Sammy Solis added a scoreless inning before Curtis Granderson homered to center with 1 out in the 8th inning off of Blake Treinen.

It was the Mets pitching that was on display today though. Jacob deGrom took 72 pitches to pitch through 4 innings, allowing only 2 walks and striking out 7 with no hits. Bartolo Colon and Logan Verrett each tacked on a hitless inning, and Jon Niese got two outs in the 7th inning before Clint Robinson lined a single up the middle, under Niese, that caromed off of Ruben Tejada’s knee for a base hit. Addison Reed got the 3rd out, Tyler Clippard pitched a clean 8th, and Jeurys Familia pitched the 9th and worked around a 2-out double by Bryce Harper.


The Mets finish the season with a 90-72 record, their best since 2006 when they finished 97-65. It marks the first time since 2000 that the Mets will enter the postseason with a better record than the Yankees, who finished their season at 87-75.

With all the playoff spots wrapping up today (Houston got the 2nd AL Wild Card spot, Texas got the AL West title), there will be no tiebreaker games tomorrow. Baseball resumes at 8:00 ET on Tuesday, with Dallas Keuchel and the Houston Astros taking on Masahiro Tanaka and the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium. Jake Arrieta and the Cubs take on Gerrit Cole and the Pirates in Pittsburgh on Thursday, and the ALDS starts Thursday with the NLDS starting Friday.

POSITIVES: Curtis Granderson provided all the offense the Mets needed today with his 26th home run of the season, wrapping up a great comeback season. He was 3/4 on the afternoon. DeGrom, Colon, Verrett, Niese, Reed, Clippard, and Familia were all solid in their pitching work today.

NEGATIVES: The offense in general, once again. It’s certainly concerning that the offense has mustered so little over the last 5 games of the season, but things can certainly change very quickly.


WPA Positives:

  • Bullpen (.433, including .136 by Famliia, .092 by Clippard, .067 by Verrett, and .060 by Colon)
  • Curtis Granderson (.376)
  • Jacob deGrom (.193 pitching, -.016 batting, .177 total)

WPA Negatives: None under -.100, but plenty in the negatives

Best Plays:

  • Curtis Granderson homers, Mets up 1-0, 8th inning (.325)
  • Jayson Werth flied out off of Jeurys Familia, 1-0, 9th inning, 3 outs (.102)

Worst Plays: None under -.100

9/15/15 Game Preview: deGrom vs. Koehler

The Mets (83-61) take on the Miami Marlins (61-83) at 7:10 at Citi Field. Jacob deGrom (2.40 ERA, 2.88 FIP, 0.97 WHIP, 176 IP over 27 starts) opposes New York native Tom Koehler (3.99 ERA, 4.46 FIP, 1.30 WHIP, 164 2/3 IP over 27 starts and 1 relief appearance).

Lineups:wpid-jacob_degrom_on_may_6_2015.jpg.jpeg

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. David Wright, 3B (R)
  5. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  8. Ruben Tejada, SS (R)
  9. Jacob deGrom, P (L)

Marlins:

  1. Dee Gordon, 2B (L)
  2. Christian Yelich, CF (L)
  3. Martin Prado, 3B (R)
  4. Justin Bour, 1B (L)
  5. Marcell Ozuna, RF (R)
  6. Derek Dietrich, LF (L)
  7. J.T. Realmuto, C (R)
  8. Miguel Rojas, SS (R)
  9. Tom Koehler, P (R)

Jacob deGrom has had a fantastic season, evidenced by his 4th in the league 2.40 ERA and 6th in the league 21.30 RE24. In fact, the only 3 pitchers in the league with clearly superior numbers to deGrom are Cy Young contenders Zack Greinke, Clayton Kershaw, and Jake Arrieta. DeGrom, in his last start against the Marlins, allowed 3 runs in 6 innings, and on the season has allowed just those 3 in 13 innings pitched.

Tom Koehler has had not had a great year, but he has been a solid arm in the Miami rotation, with a 3.99 ERA. Against the Mets, however, Koehler has allowed 21 runs (20 earned) in 17 innings pitched, good for a 10.59 ERA and 2.18 WHIP. That being said, Koehler limited the Mets to 2 runs over 6 innings the last time he faced them, walking 5 and allowing 5 hits while striking out 4. Koehler has a -10.13 RE24 on the season, but -12.90 of those runs were against the Mets alone. In other words, in context, Koehler’s was worth 2.77 runs above average against the rest of baseball, but has been worth 12.9 runs below average against the Mets.

Michael Conforto has been bumped up to the 5th spot in the batting order in front of Lucas Duda, and why not. Conforto currently has the highest slugging percentage of any rookie in Mets history and is second in wOBA to Mark Carreon (minimum 140 plate appearances). Obviously, he will not crack Strawberry’s 1983 season, but Conforto currently has the 13th best Mets rookie season by wRAA (weighted runs above average – a counting stat). With another month like August, Conforto can crack the top 5 Mets rookie batter seasons – Strawberry’s 1983, Steve Henderson‘s 1977, John Milner‘s 1972, Lucas Duda’s 2011, and Ike Davis‘s 2010.

In fact, the Mets have had some incredible offense over the last month. Out of the top 9 hitters in the National League in the last 30 days (measured by wRC+), the Mets have four of them: Yoenis Cespedes (tied for 2nd with 217), Travis d’Arnaud (tied for 2nd with 217), Curtis Granderson (8th with 173) and Michael Conforto (9th with 172)

Marlins manager Dan Jennings must have heard my disbelief that Ichiro Suzuki was starting over Marcell Ozuna, and Ozuna is in fact starting today. As much power potential as Ozuna has (he had 23 home runs last year), he has struggled mightily against righties to the tune of a .271 wOBA (.229/.275/.344). While those are pretty terrible numbers, they are still much better than Ichiro’s numbers against righties on the season (.251 wOBA, .233/.291/.265). Also, Ozuna brings a much higher power potential and a better arm in right field (though Ichiro may still beat Ozuna in range, even at his age).

As always, LET’S GO METS!