Tagged: Brett Anderson

NLDS Game 3 Recap: Mets 13, Dodgers 7

The Mets defeated the Dodgers by a score of 13-7, taking game 3 of the NLDS to take a 2-1 series lead. The Mets fell down 3-0 in the 2nd, on a 2-run single by Yasmani Grandal, on which a 3rd run scored due to a Curtis Granderson throwing error. However, the Mets came right back in the bottom of the 2nd, scoring four on an RBI single by Travis d’Arnaud and a 3-run double by Curtis Granderson. From there, the Mets didn’t look back, scoring a postseason franchise record 13 runs (including 5 RBI by Curtis Granderson, tying a Mets postseason record).

chart101215

After both pitchers retired the side in the 1st inning, the Dodgers got to Matt Harvey with four consecutive singles in the 2nd, scoring 3 runs. The fourth single was a 2-run single by Yasmani Grandal, on which Curtis Granderson’s throw to 3rd got away, allowing a 3rd runner to score. Harvey got out of the inning, and the Mets came right back in the bottom of the 2nd. Yoenis Cespedes and Lucas Duda singled, before Travis d’Arnaud hit an RBI single to get the Mets on the board. Wilmer Flores singled to load the bases, and Brett Anderson got Juan Lagares to ground into a forceout at home. Matt Harvey struck out, but Curtis Granderson hit a bases-clearing double to right center, giving the Mets a 4-3 lead.

Matt Harvey worked around a walk and a single in the 3rd, before the Mets tacked on 2 more with Travis d’Arnaud’s 2-run home run to left. The Mets had a 6-3 lead, and wouldn’t stop there. In the 4th, Juan Lagares led off with a double off of reliever Alex Wood, and with 2 outs, Wood intentionally walked David Wright. Daniel Murphy hit an RBI single to left, scoring Lagares, and setting up a 3-run home run by Yoenis Cespedes, a shot that landed in the 2nd deck. The Mets led 10-3.

Harvey was finished after only 5 innings, allowing 7 hits, 3 runs (2 earned) and 2 walks while striking out 7. Bartolo Colon came on to pitch the 6th and struck out the side, but he allowed a solo home run to Adrian Gonzalez in the 7th. The Dodgers cut the lead to 10-4, but the Mets tacked on again in the bottom of the inning. After d’Arnaud, Flores, and Lagares loaded the bases with a single and two walks, respectively, pinch hitter Michael Conforto hit a sacrifice fly, and Curtis Granderson hit a 2-run double off the left field wall. The Mets had a 13-4 lead.

Addison Reed pitched a clean 8th before Erik Goeddel ran into trouble in the 9th. Goeddel allowed consecutive singles before allowing a 3-run home run to Howie Kendrick. Another single signaled the end of the night for Goeddel, and Jeurys Familia got the next 3 batters to close out the 13-7 victory.


POSITIVES: Curtis Granderson was 2/5 with 2 doubles and 5 RBI and continues his torrid postseason. Travis d’Arnaud came out of his funk nicely with a 3/5 performance with a home run, 3 RBI, and 3 runs scored. Wilmer Flores was 2/3 with a double, a walk, and 2 runs scored, and Juan Lagares was 1/3 with a double, as walk, and 3 runs scored. Yoenis Cespedes was 3/5 with a home run, 3 RBI, and 3 runs scored. Matt Harvey battled through 5 and Bartolo Colon was solid out of the bullpen despite giving up a solo home run. Addison Reed had a nice bounce-back effort. Jeurys Familia retired all 3 batters he faced.

NEGATIVES: Erik Goeddel looked very hittable in the 9th, leaving his pitches up and allowing hits to all 4 batters he faced, including a 3-run home run. Lucas Duda looks lost at times, and was 1/5 tonight with 4 strikeouts (but he did have a single against the lefty Anderson).

The Mets and Dodgers play game 4 tomorrow at 8:07 at Citi Field with Steven Matz facing off against Clayton Kershaw.


WPA Winners:

  • Travis d’Arnaud (.294)
  • Curtis Granderson (.290)
  • Yoenis Cespedes (.112)

WPA Loser: Matt Harvey (-.155 pitching, -.103 batting, -.258 total)

Best Plays:

  • Curtis Granderson hits a 3-run double, Mets up 4-3, 2nd inning (.323)
  • Travis d’Arnaud hits a 2-run home run, Mets up 6-3, 3rd inning (.189)
  • Travis d’Arnaud hits an RBI single, Mets down 3-1, 2nd inning (.106)

Worst Play: Yasmani Grandal hits a 2-run single, 3 runs score, error on Curtis Granderson. Dodgers up 3-0, 2nd inning (-.162)

Advertisements

NLDS Game 3 Preview: Harvey vs. Anderson

The Mets take on the Dodgers at 8:37 PM at Citi Field. Matt Harvey (2.71 ERA, 3.05 FIP, 1.02 WHIP, 189 1/3 IP over 29 starts) takes on lefty Brett Anderson (3.69 ERA, 3.94 FIP, 1.33 WHIP, 180 1/3 IP over 31 starts) The Mets and Dodgers split the first two games of the best-of-five series.

Lineups:Matt Harvey

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, LF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  8. Juan Lagares, CF (R)
  9. Matt Harvey, P (R)

Dodgers:brett-anderson-mlb-colorado-rockies-los-angeles-dodgers1-850x560

  1. Howie Kendrick, 2B (R)
  2. Jimmy Rollins, SS (S)
  3. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B (L)
  4. Justin Turner, 3B (R)
  5. Andre Ethier, RF (L)
  6. Carl Crawford, LF (L)
  7. Yasmani Grandal, C (S)
  8. Kike Hernandez, CF (R)
  9. Brett Anderson, P (L)

Ruben Tejada, after breaking his leg on Saturday, will not need surgery and should be ready for spring training. The Mets have called up Matt Reynolds to replace him on the roster, who should he see game action, would be only the 2nd player in the modern era to make his major league debut in the postseason. Juan Lagares gets the start over Michael Conforto against the lefty, and Michael Cuddyer sits with sub-par numbers against Anderson for his career. Cuddyer is also likely sitting after his two defensive misplays in game 1.

For the Dodgers, it was announced that Clayton Kershaw will start game 4 on 3-days rest, while Zack Greinke will start game 5 on regular rest if needed. Chase Utley is appealing his suspension, and the appeal will not be heard before today or tomorrow’s games, therefore he is available to play.

The Mets did not face Brett Anderson in the 2015 season, but Matt Harvey faced the Dodgers twice, allowing 5 runs in 12 innings. In those two starts, Harvey allowed home runs to Adrian Gonzalez, Joc Pederson, and Jimmy Rollins.

As always, LET’S GO METS!

NLDS Game 2 Recap: Dodgers 5, Mets 2, Utley breaks Tejada’s leg with takeout slide

The Dodgers defeated the Mets by a score of 5-3 to even the series at 1 game apiece. The Mets jumped ahead with home runs by Yoenis Cespedes and Michael Conforto in the 2nd inning, but the Dodgers stormed back in the 7th inning against Syndergaard, Bartolo Colon, and Addison Reed with an assist by Chase Utley‘s late slide, the umpiring crew, and the replay umpires.

chart101015

The Mets jumped out to the early lead with solo home runs by Cespedes and Conforto in the 2nd, but that would be all they would get on the night. Noah Syndergaard struck out 9 over 6 1/3 innings and worked in and out of trouble throughout the night.

Syndergaard left after 6 1/3, after having allowed 1 run, but he left runners on 1st and 3rd with 1 out. Terry Collins opted to go to Bartolo Colon to face Howie Kendrick, who hit a grounder up the middle fielded by Daniel Murphy. Murphy flipped to Ruben Tejada for the forceout, but before he could try and turn what would have been a difficult double play, Chase Utley took him out on a late slide, allowing the game tying run to score and breaking Tejada’s fibula. In a baffling turn of events, the forceout was overturned on replay after video review showed Tejada did not touch 2nd base. Neither Utley nor Tejada touched 2nd, but Utley was ruled safe. What followed was a flyout by Corey Seager, but then a 2-run double by Adrian Gonzalez and an RBI double by Justin Turner. The Dodgers took a 5-3 lead, and didn’t look back.


A few things:

  • Double play should have been called on interference. Utley tried to reach 2nd base, but couldn’t. It should have constituted an interference and an automatic double play
  • Ruben Tejada missed the base, but so did Chase Utley. Tejada was in the process of trying to turn two, which would make the call a neighborhood play. Neighborhood plays are explicitly not reviewable. Therefore, the replay review never should have happened.
  • Chase Utley, despite never having touched the base, was ruled safe. Utley was ruled safe, since after the initial out call, there was no need for him to touch 2nd. According to Joe Torre, had a Mets player tagged Utley when he was walking off the field, he would have been called out. For some reason, the Mets should have tagged a player who was already out, but Chase Utley did not need to touch 2nd base when already out.

Take that for what you will. Some links:

POSITIVES: Cespedes and Conforto hit some nice shots against Greinke. Syndergaard looked shaky at times, but strong overall. Jon Niese got a big strikeout in the 7th, even though the damage had already been done before he entered the game. Hansel Robles pitched a scoreless 8th. Curtis Granderson was once again 2/3 with a walk.

NEGATIVES: Addison Reed did not help matters in the 7th, when he allowed 3 runs to score after getting the 2nd out. Of course, with two outs, one could argue that the runs should never have scored. David Wright as 0/4, Lucas Duda 0/3, and Travis d’Arnaud 0/3 with 3 strikeouts. Ruben Tejada has a broken fibula and, presumably, is out for the season.

Game 3 is Monday at 8:37 PM at Citi Field, with Matt Harvey facing Brett Anderson.


WPA Winners: None over .100

WPA Losers:

  • Addison Reed (-.308)
  • David Wright (-.155)
  • Bartolo Colon (-.152)

Best Plays:

  • Yoenis Cespedes hits a solo home run, Mets up 1-0, 2nd inning (.116)
  • Michael Conforto hits a solo home run, Mets up 2-0, 2nd inning (.109)

Worst Play:

  • Adrian Gonzalez hits a 2-run double, Dodgers up 4-2, 7th inning (-.327)
  • Howie Kendrick hits an RBI fielder’s choice, Game tied 2-2, 7th inning (-.152)
  • Andre Ethier hits an RBI double, Mets up 2-1, 4th inning (-.134)
  • Chase Utley singled, Kike Hernandez advances to 3rd, Mets up 2-1, 7th inning (-.108)

NLDS Game 1 Preview: deGrom vs. Kershaw

The Mets take on the Los Angeles Dodgers in game 1 of the National League Division Series. Jacob deGrom (2.54 ERA, 2.70 FIP, 0.98 WHIP, 191 IP over 30 starts) faces off against reigning NL Cy Young and MVP award winner Clayton Kershaw (2.13 ERA, 1.99 FIP, 0.88 WHIP in 232 2/3 IP over 33 starts). For the Mets, it is their first playoff game since 2006, while the Dodgers are making their 3rd straight appearance in the Division Series. This is the 3rd playoff series the Mets and Dodgers have played; The Dodgers took the 1988 NLCS 4 games to 3, while the Mets swept the 2006 NLDS 3 games to none.

Lineups:jacobdegromnewyorkyankeesvnewyorkmetsmzuwvh-4lthl

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  4. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  5. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  6. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  7. Michael Cuddyer, LF (R)
  8. Ruben Tejada, SS (R)
  9. Jacob deGrom, P (L)

Dodgers:

  1. Carl Crawford, LF (L)
  2. Howie Kendrick, 2B (R)
  3. Corey Seager, SS (L)
  4. Adrian Gonzalez, 1B (L)
  5. Justin Turner, 3B (R)
  6. Andre Ethier, RF (L)
  7. A.J. Ellis, C (R)
  8. Joc Pederson, CF (L)
  9. Clayton Kershaw, P (L)

Mets Bench:

Michael Conforto, LF (L), Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF (L), Juan Lagares, CF (R), Kelly Johnson, IF/OF (L), Wilmer Flores, SS/2B (R), Kevin Plawecki, C (R)

Mets Pitchers (projected starters denoted with asterisk):

Jeurys Familia (R), Tyler Clippard (R), Addison Reed (R), Hansel Robles (R), Jon Niese (L), Bartolo Colon (R) Erik Goeddel (R), Noah Syndergaard* (R), Matt Harvey* (R), Steven Matz* (L)

Dodgers Bench:

Kike Hernandez, OF/IF (R), Chase Utley, IF (L), Jimmy Rollins, SS (S), Yasiel Puig, OF (R), Justin Ruggiano, OF (R), Yasmani Grandal, C (S)

Dodgers Pitchers (projected starters denoted with asterisk):

Kenley Jansen (R), Luis Avilan (L), Chris Hatcher (R), J.P. Howell (L), Pedro Baez (R), Joel Peralta (R), Yimi Garcia (R), Zack Greinke* (R), Brett Anderson* (L), Alex Wood* (L)

As always, LET’S GO METS!

10/3/15 Game 1 Preview: Gonzalez vs. Syndergaard

At 1:10, Mets will take on the Washington Nationals at Citi Field in game 1 of a day-night doubleheader. Gio Gonzalez (3.93 ERA, 3.08 FIP, 1.44 FIP, 169 2/3 IP over 30 starts) will face off against Noah Syndergaard (3.34, 3.27, 1.08, 143 IP over 23 starts). The Mets are seeking home field advantage against the Dodgers in the NLDS, and they are currently .5 games behind.

Lineups:

[NY Times]

Nationals:

  1. Anthony Rendon, 2B (R)
  2. Yunel Escobar, 3B (R)
  3. Bryce Harper, CF (L)
  4. Jayson Werth, LF (R)
  5. Clint Robinson, 1B (L)
  6. Ian Desmond, SS (R)
  7. Matt den Dekker, RF (L)
  8. Jose Lobaton, C (S)
  9. Gio Gonzalez, P (L)

Mets:

  1. Juan Lagares, CF (R)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, LF (R)
  5. Michael Cuddyer, RF (R)
  6. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  7. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  8. Ruben Tejada, SS (R)
  9. Noah Syndergaard, P (L)

Obviously, the news here is that Yoenis Cespedes is back in the Mets lineup, only three days after being drilled in the left hand by a pitch. It’s good to see him back, but there is still concern for Steven Matz, Juan Uribe, and Wilmer Flores. It seems unlikely Matz will see time in a major league game this weekend, but the team is confident that a muscle relaxant will get Matz ready for a 90-100 pitch game in the instructional league on Wednesday.

Also, Hansel Robles is appealing his 3-game suspension and will be available out of the bullpen this weekend. The suspension will not carry into the postseason.

Ruben Tejada gets the start at shortstop, and Flores’s back tightness aside, it appears Tejada will see the bulk of the time at shortstop in the postseason. While Tejada brings the better defense, since September 1st, he has also brought a better offense, slashing .333/.400/.463 in 60 plate appearances in that time (.372 wOBA). By comparison, in the same period of time, Wilmer Flores has slashed .269/.309/.385 in 55 plate appearances (.298 wOBA). Expect Tejada to get the starts against Clayton Kershaw and Zack Greinke, with Wilmer Flores perhaps getting a start or two against the Dodgers’ other two lefties (Alex Wood and Brett Anderson). Today, Terry Collins acknowledged that Tejada is the likely Game 1 starter against the Dodgers.

Gio Gonzalez gets the start for the Nationals, and the Mets will face him for the first time since July 31st, when Wilmer Flores hit a 12th inning walk-off home run. Gonzalez limited the Mets to 1 run over 4 2/3 innings in that game, but the Mets drove his pitch count up early. Gonzalez walked 4, struck out 6, and allowed 4 hits in that game. Away from Nationals Park this season, Gonzalez has a 4.45 ERA and a .327 wOBA against. Gonzalez also has a relatively high walk rate to righties (10%) as compared to lefties (5.5%), but also strikes out a lot of lefties (23.6%).

Syndergaard is facing the Nationals for the first time since his 8 brilliant innings on August 2nd, the game that put the Mets in a virtual tie for first place. The biggest splits for Syndergaard this season are his home/road splits, but he has gotten better lately. He has a 2.57 ERA at home (.244 wOBA) compared to 4.23 on the road (.323 wOBA). He gets righties and lefties out fairly evenly, with a .294 wOBA against lefties and a .271 wOBA against righties. He keeps his walk rate low against both righties and lefties, but strikes out a ton of righties (31.7%) and isn’t so bad with the lefties either (22.3%).

As always, LET’S GO METS!

Game Recap: Phillies 3, Mets 0; Pitching strong as offense falters, Regulars watch from bench

The Philadelphia Phillies (62-97) defeated the Mets (89-70) by a score of 3-0. Sean Gilmartin was strong for the Mets in 5 innings, the only blemish being a 2-run home run allowed to Darin Ruf. The offense managed only 6 hits off Jerad Eickhoff and the Phillies bullpen; 3 by Kirk Nieuwenhuis, 2 infield singles by Kelly Johnson, and a single by Ruben Tejada.

chart100115

Jerad Eickhoff was in control all day for the Phillies, allowing only 4 hits, walking 1, and striking out 10 while shutting the Mets out over 7 innings. The Mets’ best opportunity came in the 7th, after a 1-out double by Kirk Nieuwenhuis and a 2-out walk by Kevin Plawecki. However, Juan Lagares struck out on a 3-2 curveball to end the threat.

Sean Gilmartin was solid for the Mets in his first career start, allowing onlyh 3 hits, a walk, 2 runs, and a home run over 5 innings while striking out 3. Unfortunately though, that home run, a 2-out 2-run shot by Darin Ruf in the 4th inning, proved to be all the Phillies would need. Tim Stauffer was strong in two shutout innings of relief and Dario Alvarez allowed a solo home run to Andres Blanco, but it didn’t matter. On a day where a hangover lineup was called for, no one could muster anything against Eickhoff, Jerome Williams, or Luis Garcia.


This could’ve been expected, especially after such a late loss last night. Gilmartin and Stauffer were pleasant surprises in their combined 7 innings of work, but the offense was absolutely lifeless. What bothered me were the pinch hitting opportunities not utilized by Terry Collins. I understand he wants to give his regular players a day off, but when Eric Young Jr. and Dilson Herrera are your two pinch hitters from a bench that includes Daniel Murphy, David Wright, Lucas Duda, and Curtis Granderson, it’s a little tough to justify your desire to win the game. In the 7th inning, with 1st and 2nd with two outs, it should have been Granderson, Murphy, or Duda facing off against Eickhoff (or a lefty reliever, if they decided to make a switch). I find it tough to believe that these veteran professionals could have their playoff performances compromised by one plate appearance.

But, these are small annoyances. After the rest day today, one would imagine that Terry will go with his regular lineup the rest of the weekend, perhaps with an extra righty or two against Gio Gonzalez. The Mets fans certainly have to thank Mike Leake and the Giants for keeping their home field advantage hopes alive – Leake spun a 2-hit shutout last night, reducing the Mets home field advantage magic number to 3. The Giants look to take 3 of 4 from the Dodgers this afternoon at 3:45, with Brett Anderson facing Tim Hudson. A Dodgers win would bring L.A. to the same record as the Mets, but as a reminder, the Mets do own the tiebreaker.

Noah Syndergaard faces Gio Gonzalez tomorrow at 7:10 at Citi Field, weather permitting, as the Mets open a 3-game series against the Nationals.

POSITIVES: Sean Gilmartin and Tim Stauffer were both solid today with better-than-expected performances. Dario Alvarez, while allowing a home run to a right-handed batter, also retired the only lefty he faced. Kirk Nieuwenhuis had 3 of the Mets’ 6 hits, but despite 2 doubles, was never able to score.

NEGATIVES: The offense, save for Nieuwenhuis. The manager’s decision to pinch hit Eric Young Jr. and Dilson Herrera in a close game that means something. The decision to remove Michael Conforto in a close game, and not for a better bat.


WPA Winners: Kirk Nieuwenhuis (.109)

WPA Losers: Eric Campbell (-.141)

Best Play: None over .100

Worst Play: Darin Ruf hits a 2-run home run, Phillies up 2-0, 4th inning (-.245)

Mets 2015 NLDS Roster Predictions

NL East 2015

Game 1 of the National League Division Series between the Mets and Dodgers is in only 9 days, on Friday, October 9th at a time and place to be determined. Here are my predictions for the roster in round one:

The starting 8:

Curtis Granderson (RF), David Wright (3B), Daniel Murphy (2B/1B/3B) Yoenis Cespedes (CF/LF), Lucas Duda (1B), Travis d’Arnaud (C), Michael Conforto (LF), Ruben Tejada (SS)

No surprises here. Barring injury, these 8 are all locks for the roster (though Flores and Cuddyer will certainly get some starts).

The bench:

Kelly Johnson (2B/1B/OF), Wilmer Flores (SS/2B), Michael Cuddyer (OF/1B), Juan Lagares (CF), Eric Young Jr. (OF/2B), Kevin Plawecki (C)

No surprises here as well. The only uncertainty is Eric Young Jr., who will almost certainly be left off the roster if Juan Uribe is healthy and ready to play.

The rotation:

Jacob deGrom, Noah Syndergaard, Matt Harvey, Steven Matz

Maybe Bartolo Colon will be the fourth starter, but I think it’ll be Matz. Assuming his side injury is nothing major, this should be what we see.

The bullpen:

Jeurys Familia, Tyler Clippard, Addison Reed, Hansel Robles, Bartolo Colon, Jon Niese, Erik Goeddel

Here’s where there’s the most uncertainty. Familia, Clippard, Reed, and Robles are all locks. Colon and Niese are very likely, and the final spot will likely go to Erik Goeddel or Sean Gilmartin. My money’s on Goeddel, since he can be a situational right-hander in the earlier innings. Gilmartin is not a lefty specialist (nor is Niese, for that matter), but Niese has a much longer track record with the Mets. Plus, with Niese and Colon in the bullpen, they won’t need another long-relief type.

A couple of things could throw a wrench into the plan. Don’t be shocked to see Carlos Torres in the postseason bullpen if he can prove his health over the next few days. Similarly, don’t count out Dario Alvarez or Eric O’Flaherty. Alvarez has rejoined the team, but he may be as much of a long shot as Jerry Blevins. With O’Flaherty, the team’s desire to have a situational lefty in the bullpen may trump his terrible performance so far. I certainly wouldn’t include him, since I think Goeddel, Gilmartin, and Torres are all far superior options.

On Platoons:

The Mets have not shied away from platoons this season, a move I see as a smart one. Others, like perpetual cliché machine Harold Reynolds, believe a team’s struggles can stem from failure to use a regular lineup. For example, when commenting last night on the Dodgers’ use of platoons, especially in their outfield, Reynolds commented that he believed it would be their undoing in the NLDS against the Mets.

Platoons have served the Mets well for the season, but with Juan Uribe hurt and Juan Lagares struggling, it is very possible the only extra right-handed bat that enters the lineup against lefties is Michael Cuddyer (in place of Michael Conforto). Since 3/4 of the Dodgers pitchers the Mets will face will likely be left-handed (Clayton Kershaw, Brett Anderson, Alex Wood), it is very likely we see a lot more of Curtis Granderson, Lucas Duda, and Daniel Murphy against lefties. However, if Juan Uribe is healthy and ready to go, don’t be shocked to see him at 2nd base in place of Murphy or Duda (with Murphy sliding to 1st base).