Category: Previews

World Series Game 5 Preview: Harvey vs. Volquez

The Mets take on the Royals in Game 5 of the World series tonight at 8:07 ET at Citi Field. The Mets face elimination, as they are down 3 games to 1. They would have to win 3 games in a row, starting tonight, in order to capture a World Series championship. Matt Harvey (2.71 ERA, 3.05 FIP, 1.02 WHIP, 189 1/3 IP over 29 starts) and Edinson Volquez (3.55 ERA, 3.82 FIP, 1.31 WHIP, 200 1/3 IP over 33 starts and 1 relief appearance) face off, in a rematch of game 1.

In his three postseason starts, Harvey has a 3.38 ERA, 3.72 FIP, and 1.18 WHIP, having allowed 16 hits, 6 walks (1 intentional), and a hit batsman while striking out 18. Harvey’s best start was his NLCS game 1 start against the Cubs, during which he allowed only 2 runs in 7 2/3 innings. Volquez, in 4 postseason starts in 2015, has a 4.37 ERA, 4.68 FIP, and 1.28 WHIP, having allowed 16 hits, 13 walks (1 intentional), and 2 hit batsman while striking out 18. Volquez’s best start was in game 1 of the ALCS against the Blue Jays, in which he pitched 6 shutout innings, while only allowing 2 hits and 5 walks while striking out 4. Both Harvey and Volquez allowed 3 runs in 6 innings in their game 1 performances.

Lineups:

Mets:Matt Harvey

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Matt Harvey, P (R)

Royals:

  1. Alcides Escobar, SS (R)
  2. Ben Zobrist, 2B (S)
  3. Lorenzo Cain, CF (R)
  4. Eric Hosmer, 1B (L)
  5. Mike Moustakas, 3B (L)
  6. Salvador Perez, C (R)
  7. Alex Gordon, LF (L)
  8. Alex Rios, RF (R)
  9. Edinson Volquez, P (R)

As always, LET’S GO METS!

AND…

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World Series Game 4 Preview: Matz vs. Young

The Mets take on the Royals in Game 4 of the World Series. After the Mets’ 9-3 victory last night, the Royals currently hold a 2 games to 1 series advantage. Rookie southpaw Steven Matz (2.27 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 1.23 WHIP, 35 2/3 IP over 6 starts) takes on veteran righty and former Met Chris Young (3.06 ERA, 4.52 FIP, 1.09 WHIP, 123 1/3 IP over 18 starts and 16 relief appearances). Young got the victory in game 1 after 3 innings of scoreless relief in extra innings.

Matz, over 2 postseason starts, has a 3.72 ERA, 2.72 FIP, and 1.45 WHIP in 9 2/3 innings, having allowed 10 hits and 4 walks (1 intentional) while striking out 8. Matz’s best start was his most recent, a 4 2/3 inning effort in which he allowed 4 hits, 2 walks, and 1 run while striking out 4 in an 8-3 Mets victory over Chicago in game 4 of the NLCS. Young, in 3 postseason appearances (1 start) has a 2.31 ERA, 2.96 FIP, and 0.94 WHIP in 11 2/3 innings, having allowed 6 hits and 5 walks while striking out 15. In his one postseason start, Young went 4 2/3 innings, allowing 3 hits, 2 walks, and 2 runs while striking out 4 in a 14-2 Royals victory over Toronto in game 4 of the ALCS.

Lineups:

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Steven Matz, P (R)

Royals:

  1. Alcides Escobar, SS (R)
  2. Ben Zobrist, 2B (S)
  3. Lorenzo Cain, CF (R)
  4. Eric Hosmer, 1B (L)
  5. Mike Moustakas, 3B (L)
  6. Salvador Perez, C (R)
  7. Alex Gordon, LF (L)
  8. Alex Rios, RF (R)
  9. Chris Young, P (R)

As always, LET’S GO METS!

World Series Game 3 Preview: Syndergaard vs. Ventura

The Mets take on the Royals at 8:07 ET tonight at Citi Field in Game 3 of the 2015 World Series. The Royals have a 2 games to none lead. Young hard-throwing right-handers Noah Syndergaard (3.24 ERA, 3.25 FIP, 1.05 WHIP, 150 IP over 24 starts) and Yordano Ventura (4.08 ERA, 3.57 FIP, 1.30 WHIP, 163 1/3 IP over 28 starts) will face off.

Syndergaard, in 3 postseason appearances (2 starts) has a 2.77 ERA, 1.44 FIP, and 1.08 WHIP over 13 innings while striking out 20, allowing 8 hits, and walking 6 (1 intentionally). His best start was his most recent against the Cubs, in which he struck out 9, walked 1, and allowed 3 hits in 5 2/3 innings of 1-run ball.

Ventura, in his 4 postseason starts of 2015, has a 5.09 ERA, 4.49 FIP,  and a 1.59 WHIP. He has allowed 20 hits, 8 walks (1 intentional), a hit batsman, and has struck out 21 in his 17 2/3 innings of postseason work. Ventura’s best start was also his most recent, a 5 1/3 inning effort in the clinching game 6 against the Blue Jays, in whichi he allowed only 1 run on 4 hits and 2 walks while striking out 5.

Lineups:

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Noah Syndergaard, P (L)

Royals:

  1. Alcides Escobar, SS (R)
  2. Ben Zobrist, 2B (S)
  3. Lorenzo Cain, CF (R)
  4. Eric Hosmer, 1B (L)
  5. Mike Moustakas, 3B (L)
  6. Salvador Perez, C (R)
  7. Alex Gordon, LF (L)
  8. Alex Rios, RF (R)
  9. Yordano Ventura, P (R)

With the lack of a designated hitter in the National League park, the Royals must sit their power-hitting DH, Kendrys Morales. The Mets, on the other hand, opt to start offense (Michael Conforto) over defense (Juan Lagares), two days after they had the luxury of starting both.

As always, LET’S GO METS!

And don’t forget…

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World Series Game 2 Preview: deGrom vs. Cueto

The Mets face the Royals in game 2 of the World Series at 8:07 PM ET at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City. The Royals currently hold a 1-0 series lead after their 5-4 victory in 14 innings last night. Jacob deGrom (2.54 ERA, 2.70 FIP, 0.98 WHIP, 191 IP over 30 starts) faces off against Johnny Cueto (3.44 ERA, 3.53 FIP, 1.13 WHIP, 212 IP over 32 starts between the Reds and Royals).

Lineups:

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, LF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, DH (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Juan Lagares, CF (R)

Royals:cueto

  1. Alcides Escobar, SS (R)
  2. Ben Zobrist, 2B (S)
  3. Lorenzo Cain, CF (R)
  4. Eric Hosmer, 1B (L)
  5. Kendrys Morales, DH (S)
  6. Mike Moustakas, 3B (L)
  7. Salvador Perez, C (R)
  8. Alex Gordon, LF (L)
  9. Alex Rios, RF (R)

Jacob deGrom has been fantastic across his 3 postseason starts, allowing only 4 runs over 20 innings with 15 hits and 5 walks (1 intentional) while striking out 27. Johnny Cueto has not been as strong for the Royals over his 3 postseason starts, having allowed 14 runs over 16 innings with 15 hits, 7 walks, and a hit batsman while striking out 15. Cueto’s worst start was his most recent against Toronto, in which he allowed 8 runs on 6 hits, 4 walks and a hit batsman wile striking out only 2 over 2+ innings of work. However, Cueto’s ALDS game 5 was an 8 inning effort in which he allowed only 2 hits and 2 runs while striking out 8 and walking none.

The Royals have never faced Jacob deGrom, but the Mets faced Johnny Cueto once in 2015 when he was a member of the Cincinnati Reds. Cueto held the Mets to 2 runs on 2 hits and 3 walks over 6 innings while striking out 6. Cueto, though, has had trouble since coming to the Royals, and carried a 4.76 ERA, 4.06 FIP, and 1.45 WHIP in 81 1/3 IP over 13 starts.

Juan Lagares gets the start over Kelly Johnson today, and why not, given his defensive prowess and strong showing off the bench in game 1. Another reason Lagares is starting may have to do with Johnny Cueto’s reverse platoon splits. For the 2015 season, righties have a .322 wOBA against him while lefties are at only .262. Michael Conforto serves as the designated hitter, while Yoenis Cespedes moves to left field.

World Series Game 1 Preview: Harvey vs. Volquez

The Mets face the Kansas City Royals in game 1 of the World Series. Tonight’s game is at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri and starts at 8:07 PM ET. Matt Harvey (2.71 ERA, 3.05 FIP, 1.02 WHIP, 189 1/3 IP over 29 starts) gets the game 1 assignment against Edinson Volquez (3.55 ERA, 3.82 FIP, 1.31 WHIP, 200 1/3 IP over 33 starts and 1 relief appearance). The Mets and Royals have never faced each other in the World Series, and in fact, it is the first time in major league history that two expansion teams have met in the World Series.

In his two postseason starts, Matt Harvey has allowed 5 runs over 12 2/3 innings (4 earned), 11 hits, and 4 walks (1 intentional) while striking out 16 and hitting a batter. Harvey was particularly impressive in his most recent start, game 1 of the NLCS against the Cubs during which he allowed only 2 runs in 7 2/3 innings. Volquez, in 3 postseason starts in 2015, has allowed 8 runs in 16 2/3 innings, 10 hits, 12 walks (1 intentional) while striking out 15. Volquez’s best start was in game 1 of the ALCS against the Blue Jays, in which he pitched 6 shutout innings, while only allowing 2 hits and 5 walks while striking out 4.

The Mets have not played the Royals since 2013, and among the 50 active players on the two rosters, only one has played for both teams: Royals starting pitcher Chris Young. The Mets have not played at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City since 2004.

Lineups:

Mets:Matt Harvey

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Kelly Johnson, DH (L)

Royals:

  1. Alcides Escobar, SS (R)
  2. Ben Zobrist, 2B (S)
  3. Lorenzo Cain, CF (R)
  4. Eric Hosmer, 1B (L)
  5. Kendrys Morales, DH (S)
  6. Mike Moustakas, 3B (L)
  7. Salvador Perez, C (R)
  8. Alex Gordon, LF (L)
  9. Alex Rios, RF (R)

Mets Bench:

Michael Cuddyer, OF/1B (R), Juan Uribe**, 3B/2B (R), Juan Lagares, CF (R), Kirk Nieuwenhuis, OF (L), Kevin Plawecki, C (R)

**Juan Uribe rejoins the Mets after missing the Division Series and the Championship Series with a chest injury. He replaces Matt Reynolds on the roster. Uribe is the only player on the Mets to have won a World Series before, and he has done so twice: as a member of the 2005 White Sox and a member of the 2010 Giants.

Mets Pitchers (projected starters denoted with asterisk):

Jeurys Familia (R), Tyler Clippard (R), Addison Reed (R), Hansel Robles (R), Jon Niese (L), Bartolo Colon (R), Sean Gilmartin (L), Jacob deGrom* (R), Noah Syndergaard* (R) Steven Matz* (L)

Royals Bench:

Paulo Orlando, OF (R), Christian Colon, IF (R), Jarrod Dyson, OF (L), Raul Mondesi**, SS/2B (S), Drew Butera, C (R)

**Mondesi replaces pinch-running specialist Terrance Gore. Mondesi, should he appear in a game, would become the first player in history to make his major league debut in the World Series.

Royals Pitchers (projected starters denoted with asterisk):

Wade Davis (R), Kelvin Herrera (R), Ryan Madson (R), Luke Hochevar (R), Kris Medlen (R), Danny Duffy (L), Franklin Morales (L), Johnny Cueto* (R), Yordano Ventura* (R), Chris Young* (R)

As always, LET’S GO METS!

NLCS Game 4 Preview: Matz vs. Hammel

The Mets take on the Cubs in game 4 of the National League Championship Series tonight at 8:07 at Wrigley Field. Steven Matz (2.27 ERA, 3.61 FIP, 1.23 WHIP, 35 2/3 IP over 6 starts) takes on Jason Hammel (3.74 ERA, 3.68 FIP, 1.16 WHIP, 170 2/3 IP over 31 starts).

Lineups:

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Steven Matz, P (R)

Cubs:

  1. Dexter Fowler, CF (S)
  2. Jorge Soler, RF (R)
  3. Kris Bryant, 3B (R)
  4. Anthony Rizzo, 1B (L)
  5. Starlin Castro, 2B (R)
  6. Kyle Schwarber, LF (L)
  7. Javier Baez, SS (R)
  8. Jason Hammel, P (R)
  9. David Ross, C (R)

In his one postseason start, Steven Matz allowed 3 runs over 5 innings, with 6 hits, 2 walks (1 intentional) and 4 strikeouts. Hammel, in his one postseason start of 2015, allowed 2 runs over 3 innings, with 3 hits, 3 walks, and 2 strikeouts. Matz has not faced the Cubs, but Hammel did make one start against the Mets, a strong effort in which he allowed only 1 run on 5 hits and a walk over 8 innings, while striking out 6.

Matz, in a very small sample size, has performed better against righties than lefties, allowing a 2.8% walk rate to righties but a 17.5% walk rate to lefties. However, it is righties who have taken him deep, to the rate of 1.30 HR/9 (he has yet to allow a home run to a lefty).

The one major note about Hammel is his 2nd half troubles, compared with his first half success. Hammel had a 2.86 ERA in the first half, but a 5.10 ERA in the 2nd half. The main culprits have been his increased home run rate (0.95 HR/9 in the first half, 1.61 HR/9 in the 2nd half) and a slightly increased walk rate (4.4% first half, 7.3% 2nd half). Hammel also has reverse home run splits, having allowed a higher home run rate to righties than lefties (1.52 HR/9 vs. 0.83 HR/9).

As always, LET’S GO METS!

NLCS Game 3 Preview: deGrom vs. Hendricks

The Mets take on the Cubs in game 3 of the National League Championship Series tonight at 8:07 at Wrigley Field. Jacob deGrom (2.54 ERA, 2.70 FIP, 0.98 WHIP, 191 IP over 30 starts) takes on Kyle Hendricks (3.95 ERA, 3.36 FIP, 1.16 WHIP, 180 IP over 32 starts).

Lineups:

Mets:

  1. Curtis Granderson, RF (L)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Daniel Murphy, 2B (L)
  4. Yoenis Cespedes, CF (R)
  5. Lucas Duda, 1B (L)
  6. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  7. Michael Conforto, LF (L)
  8. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  9. Jacob deGrom, P (L)

Cubs:

  1. Dexter Fowler, CF (S)
  2. Kyle Schwarber, LF (L)
  3. Kris Bryant, 3B (R)
  4. Anthony Rizzo, 1B (L)
  5. Starlin Castro, 2B (R)
  6. Jorge Soler, RF (R)
  7. Miguel Montero, C (L)
  8. Kyle Hendricks, P (R)
  9. Javier Baez, SS (R)

In his two starts of the 2015 postseason, Jacob deGrom has allowed only 2 runs over 13 innings, allowing only 11 hits and 4 walks (1 intentional) while striking out 20. DeGrom battled through his last start, and after allowing 2 first inning runs, got out of trouble consistently en-route to the Mets winning game 5 of the NLDS 3-2. Hendricks, in his one start of the 2015 postseason, allowed 3 runs to the Cardinals over 4 2/3 innings. Hendricks allowed only 4 hits and walked none while striking out 7, but 3 of the 4 hits he allowed were solo home runs. He was removed in the 5th inning after surrendering back-to-back home runs to Kolten Wong and Randal Grichuk.

Jacob deGrom faced the Cubs twice in the 2015 season, and it did not go particularly well. Over 10 1/3 innings, deGrom gave up 8 runs (7 earned) and 12 hits while walking 6 (1 intentional), hitting a batter, and striking out 7. DeGrom gave up 3 home runs over those two starts, one each to Kris Bryant, Anthony Rizzo, and Jonathan Herrera (who is not on the postseason roster). Kyle Hendricks, on the other hand, faced the Mets only once in the 2015 season and shut them out over 6 innings, allowing only 3 hits and a walk while striking out 6.

As always, LET’S GO METS!