9/16/15 Game Preview: Conley vs. Colon, RH lineup in

The Mets (83-62) take on the Miami Marlins (62-83) at 7:10 tonight at Citi Field. Bartolo Colon (4.13 ERA, 3.75 FIP, 1.24 WHIP, 176 2/3 IP over 28 starts and 1 relief appearance) faces off against rookie lefty Adam Conley (4.93 ERA, 4.55 FIP, 1.55 WHIP, 42 IP over 7 starts and 4 relief appearances). The Mets try to take the rubber game in the 3 game series against Miami, against whom they are 11-7 this season. This will be the final meeting between the two teams in 2015.

Lineups:

[USA Today]

Mets:

  1. Juan Lagares, CF (R)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Yoenis Cespedes, LF (R)
  4. Juan Uribe, 2B (R)
  5. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  6. Michael Cuddyer, RF (R)
  7. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  8. Eric Campbell, 1B (R)
  9. Bartolo Colon, P (R)

Marlins:

  1. Dee Gordon, 2B (L)
  2. Christian Yelich, CF (L)
  3. Martin Prado, 3B (R)
  4. Justin Bour, 1B (L)
  5. Marcell Ozuna, RF (R)
  6. J.T. Realmuto, C (R)
  7. Ichiro Suzuki, LF (L)
  8. Donovan Solano, SS (R)
  9. Adam Conley, P (L)

Since giving up 7 runs in a start in Colorado, Bartolo Colon has allowed only 2 earned runs in 31 2/3 innings (the first 31 of which were scoreless). In 37 2/3 IP against Miami this season, Colon has allowed only 9 runs on 37 hits, walking none and striking out 15 while allowing 3 home runs. His last appearance against the Marlins was a complete game shutout. Colon has a 3.72 ERA at home this season, holding opponents to a .300 wOBA.

Adam Conley, in limited time in the major leagues, has actually fared better against left handed batters (.408 wOBA in 33 plate appearances, compared to .348 in 153 against righties). That being said, the Mets are starting a completely right-handed lineup against him, starting platoon righties Juan Uribe, Eric Campbell, Michael Cuddyer, and Juan Lagares. Conley has also pitched much worse on the road, with a 6.62 ERA in 17 2/3 road innings. In his one appearance against the Mets this season, he allowed 1 run in 2 1/3 IP of relief.

Yoenis Cespedes’s struggles against lefties have been well noted, with a .290 wOBA against lefties for the Athletics/Red Sox last season and a .247 wOBA for the Tigers this season, with only 3 home runs. However, since becoming a Met, Cespedes has hit lefties very well, with a .423 wOBA (.283/.377/.652) in 53 plate appearances, with 2 doubles and 5 home runs.

On the Marlins’ side, Dee Gordon has absolutely killed the Mets this season, and he continued doing so last night. In 80 plate appearances, Gordon has a wOBA of .401 against the Mets (.429/.430/.494) with 3 steals (though he has been caught 3 times). Bartolo Colon and his good move to 1st base will look to keep him in check tonight.

As always, LET’S GO METS!

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