9/5/2015 Game Preview: Grandy and Johnson out, EY and Campbell in

The New York Mets (74-60) take on the Miami Marlins (56-79) at Marlins Park in Miami at 7:10 PM. RHP Bartolo Colon (4.42 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 3.84 FIP, 161 IP, 26 starts) takes on LHP Brad Hand (4.54 ERA, 1.33 WHIP, 3.15 FIP, 81 1/3 IP, 9 starts).

Lineups:

Colon, in his last start vs. Philadelphia

Mets:

  1. Juan Lagares, CF (R)
  2. David Wright, 3B (R)
  3. Yoenis Cespedes, LF (R)
  4. Juan Uribe, 2B (R)
  5. Travis d’Arnaud, C (R)
  6. Wilmer Flores, SS (R)
  7. Eric Campbell, 1B (R)
  8. Eric Young Jr., RF (S)
  9. Bartolo Colon, P (R)

Marlins:

  1. Dee Gordon, 2B (L)
  2. Christian Yelich, CF (L)
  3. Martin Prado, 3B (R)
  4. Justin Bour, 1B (L)
  5. Derek Dietrich, LF (L)
  6. Ichiro Suzuki, RF (L)
  7. J.T. Realmuto, C (R)
  8. Miguel Rojas, SS (R)
  9. Brad Hand, P (L)

Michael Cuddyer and Daniel Murphy remain out of the lineup. Cuddyer has right wrist tendinitis and Murphy is recovering from a mild left quad strain. Adeiny Hechavarria remains out of the Marlins lineup due to a hamstring injury. Lucas Duda is in tonight’s lineup for the Binghamton Mets as he tries to work his way back.

Eric Young Jr. gets his first Mets start of the season, in place of Curtis Granderson, who is sitting against the left handed pitcher. Eric Campbell is also getting his first start in over a month, playing first base in place of Lucas Duda, Daniel Murphy, Michael Cuddyer, and Kelly Johnson (who is simply sitting against the lefty).

Colon enters tonight’s game with a 16 inning scoreless streak, over his last two starts and one inning of relief. The Mets are 3-1 in Colon’s 4 starts against the Marlins this season. Colon has gone 28 2/3 innings (averaging a little over 7 per start) while allowing only 9 runs (but three home runs). That’s good for a 2.83 ERA and 0.977 WHIP. Colon has not pitched well on the road for the Mets, with a 5.15 ERA and 1.39 WHIP, but it’s worth noting that Marlins Park profiles as an extreme pitcher’s park with a strong ability to limit home runs.

Brad Hand has started and worked out of the bullpen for the Marlins this season. The Mets right handed hitters should look to take advantage, as they have hit .304/.351/.444 against Hand this season. That being said, Hand has been fantastic at home this season, holding batters to just .230/.275/.304 with a 2.30 ERA. In four appearances against the Mets this season (only one start), Hand has held the Mets to just 2 runs over 7 2/3 innings. The Mets have reached base at a good clip against him though, with a .353 mark.

On the season, Juan Uribe is hitting .278/.352/.544 with a .266 ISO against left handed pitching. That’s good for a .381 wOBA and 145 wRC+. Due to his power bat against left handed pitching, the Mets have gotten him some time at 2nd base against lefties (since David Wright, a career .341/.434/.574 hitter against lefties, will probably not be given a day off against a left handed pitcher). Also, look for Wilmer Flores to be a good bat against the lefty. Flores is hitting .304/.347/.554 against lefties with a .382 wOBA and 148 wRC+ this season.

For the Marlins, keep an eye on last night’s hero, Martin Prado. Since August 11th, Prado is hitting .345/.394/.517 with a .385 wOBA and a 145 wRC+. While Prado has been useful for Miami, and many Yankees fans were unhappy with the trade from last offseason, I doubt many of them are complaining now. Nathan Eovaldi, sent to the Yankees in that trade, is holding steady in a rotation that has seen key injuries to C.C. Sabathia and Michael Pineda, not to mention Masahiro Tanaka‘s closely-monitored right elbow.

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